Overt and Occult Hypoxemia in Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19.

Progressive hypoxemia is the predominant mode of deterioration in COVID-19. Among hypoxemia measures, the ratio of the Pao2 to the Fio2 (P/F ratio) has optimal construct validity but poor availability because it requires arterial blood sampling. Pulse oximetry reports oxygenation continuously (ratio of the Spo2 to the Fio2 [S/F ratio]), but it is affected by skin color and occult hypoxemia can occur in Black patients. Oxygen dissociation curves allow noninvasive estimation of P/F ratios (ePFRs) but remain unproven. OBJECTIVES: Measure overt and occult hypoxemia using ePFR. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We retrospectively studied COVID-19 hospital encounters (n = 5,319) at two academic centers (University of Virginia [UVA] and Emory University). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: We measured primary outcomes (death or ICU transfer within 24 hr), ePFR, conventional hypoxemia measures, baseline predictors (age, sex, race, comorbidity), and acute predictors (National Early Warning Score [NEWS] and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA]). We updated predictors every 15 minutes. We assessed predictive validity using adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). We quantified disparities (Black vs non-Black) in empirical cumulative distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) two-sample test. RESULTS: Overt hypoxemia (low ePFR) predicted bad outcomes (AOR for a 100-point ePFR drop: 2.7 [UVA]; 1.7 [Emory]; p < 0.01) with better discrimination (AUROC: 0.76 [UVA]; 0.71 [Emory]) than NEWS (0.70 [both sites]) or SOFA (0.68 [UVA]; 0.65 [Emory]) and similar to S/F ratio (0.76 [UVA]; 0.70 [Emory]). We found racial differences consistent with occult hypoxemia. Black patients had better apparent oxygenation (K-S distance: 0.17 [both sites]; p < 0.01) but, for comparable ePFRs, worse outcomes than other patients (AOR: 2.2 [UVA]; 1.2 [Emory]; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The ePFR was a valid measure of overt hypoxemia. In COVID-19, it may outperform multi-organ dysfunction models. By accounting for biased oximetry as well as clinicians' real-time responses to it (supplemental oxygen adjustment), ePFRs may reveal racial disparities attributable to occult hypoxemia.

Overt and occult hypoxemia in patients hospitalized with novel coronavirus disease 2019.

Background: Progressive hypoxemia is the predominant mode of deterioration in COVID-19. Among hypoxemia measures, the ratio of the partial pressure of arterial oxygen to the fraction of inspired oxygen (P/F ratio) has optimal construct validity but poor availability because it requires arterial blood sampling. Pulse oximetry reports oxygenation continuously, but occult hypoxemia can occur in Black patients because the technique is affected by skin color. Oxygen dissociation curves allow non-invasive estimation of P/F ratios (ePFR) but this approach remains unproven. Research Question: Can ePFRs measure overt and occult hypoxemia? Study Design and methods: We retrospectively studied COVID-19 hospital encounters (n=5319) at two academic centers (University of Virginia [UVA] and Emory University). We measured primary outcomes (death or ICU transfer within 24 hours), ePFR, conventional hypoxemia measures, baseline predictors (age, sex, race, comorbidity), and acute predictors (National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Sepsis-3). We updated predictors every 15 minutes. We assessed predictive validity using adjusted odds ratios (AOR) and area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC). We quantified disparities (Black vs non-Black) in empirical cumulative distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) two-sample test. Results: Overt hypoxemia (low ePFR) predicted bad outcomes (AOR for a 100-point ePFR drop: 2.7 [UVA]; 1.7 [Emory]; p<0.01) with better discrimination (AUROC: 0.76 [UVA]; 0.71 [Emory]) than NEWS (AUROC: 0.70 [UVA]; 0.70 [Emory]) or Sepsis-3 (AUROC: 0.68 [UVA]; 0.65 [Emory]). We found racial differences consistent with occult hypoxemia. Black patients had better apparent oxygenation (K-S distance: 0.17 [both sites]; p<0.01) but, for comparable ePFRs, worse outcomes than other patients (AOR: 2.2 [UVA]; 1.2 [Emory], p<0.01). Interpretation: The ePFR was a valid measure of overt hypoxemia. In COVID-19, it may outperform multi-organ dysfunction models like NEWS and Sepsis-3. By accounting for biased oximetry as well as clinicians’ real-time responses to it (supplemental oxygen adjustment), ePFRs may enable statistical modelling of racial disparities in outcomes attributable to occult hypoxemia.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention and diagnosis in COVID-19: Practice patterns and outcomes at 33 hospitals.

BACKGROUND: Early reports of increased thrombosis risk with SARS-CoV-2 infection led to changes in venous thromboembolism (VTE) management. Real-world data on the prevalence, efficacy and harms of these changes informs best practices. OBJECTIVE: Define practice patterns and clinical outcomes related to VTE diagnosis, prevention, and management in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) using a multi-hospital US sample. METHODS: In this retrospective cross-sectional study of 1121 patients admitted to 33 hospitals, exposure was dose of anticoagulant prescribed for VTE prophylaxis (standard, intensified, therapeutic), and primary outcome was VTE (pulmonary embolism [PE] and deep vein thrombosis [DVT]); secondary outcomes were PE, DVT, arterial thromboembolism (ATE), and bleeding events. Multivariable logistic regression models accounting for clustering by site and adjusted for risk factors were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs). Inverse probability weighting was used to account for confounding by indication. RESULTS: 1121 patients (mean age 60 ± 18, 47% female) admitted with COVID-19 between February 2, 2020 and December 31, 2020 to 33 US hospitals were included. Pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis was prescribed in 86%. Forty-seven patients (4.2%) had PE, 51 (4.6%) had DVT, and 23 (2.1%) had ATE. Forty-six patients (4.1%) had major bleeding and 46 (4.1%) had clinically relevant non-major bleeding. Compared to standard prophylaxis, adjusted odds of VTE were 0.67 (95% CI 0.21-2.1) with no prophylaxis, 1.0 (95% CI 0.06-17) with intensified, and 3.0 (95% CI 0.89-10) with therapeutic. Adjusted odds of bleeding with no prophylaxis were 5.6 (95% CI 3.0-11) and 5.3 (95% CI 3.0-10) with therapeutic (no events on intensified dosing). CONCLUSIONS: Therapeutic anticoagulation was associated with a 3-fold increased odds of VTE and 5-fold increased odds of bleeding. While higher bleeding rates with high-intensity prophylaxis were likely due to full-dose anticoagulation, we conclude that high thrombosis rates were due to clinical concern for thrombosis before formal diagnosis.

Analysis of respiratory kinematics: a method to characterize breaths from motion signals.

Objective.Breathing motion (respiratory kinematics) can be characterized by the interval and depth of each breath, and by magnitude-synchrony relationships between locations. Such characteristics and their breath-by-breath variability might be useful indicators of respiratory health. To enable breath-by-breath characterization of respiratory kinematics, we developed a method to detect breaths using motion sensors.Approach.In 34 volunteers who underwent maximal exercise testing, we used 8 motion sensors to record upper rib, lower rib and abdominal kinematics at 3 exercise stages (rest, lactate threshold and exhaustion). We recorded volumetric air flow signals using clinical exercise laboratory equipment and synchronized them with kinematic signals. Using instantaneous phase landmarks from the analytic representation of kinematic and flow signals, we identified individual breaths and derived respiratory rate (RR) signals at 1 Hz. To evaluate the fidelity of kinematics-derived RR, we calculated bias, limits of agreement, and cross-correlation coefficients (CCC) relative to flow-derived RR. To identify coupling between kinematics and flow, we calculated the Shannon entropy of the relative frequency with which flow landmarks were distributed over the phase of the kinematic cycle.Main Results.We found good agreement in the kinematics-derived and flow-derived RR signals [bias (95% limit of agreement) = 0.1 (± 7) breaths/minute; CCC median (IQR) = 0.80 (0.48-0.91)]. In individual signals, kinematics and flow were well-coupled (entropy 0.9-1.4 across sensors), but the relationship varied within (by exercise stage) and between individuals. The final result was that the flow landmarks did not consistently localize to any particular phase of the kinematic signals (entropy 2.2-3.0 across sensors).Significance.The Analysis of Respiratory Kinematics method can yield highly resolved respiratory rate signals by separating individual breaths. This method will facilitate characterization of clinically significant breathing motion patterns on a breath-by-breath basis. The relationship between respiratory kinematics and flow is much more complex than expected, varying between and within individuals.

Pathophysiologic Signatures of Bloodstream Infection in Critically Ill Adults.

OBJECTIVES: Bloodstream infection is associated with high mortality rates in critically ill patients but is difficult to identify clinically. This results in frequent blood culture testing, exposing patients to additional costs as well as the potential harms of unnecessary antibiotics. The purpose of this study was to assess whether the analysis of bedside physiologic monitoring data could accurately describe a pathophysiologic signature of bloodstream infection in patients admitted to the ICU. DESIGN: Development of a statistical model using physiologic data from a retrospective observational cohort. SETTING: University of Virginia Medical Center (Charlottesville, VA), a tertiary-care academic medical center. PATIENTS: Critically ill patients consecutively admitted to either the medical or surgical/trauma ICUs with available physiologic monitoring data between February 2011 and June 2015. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We analyzed 9,954 ICU admissions with 144 patient-years of vital sign and electrocardiography waveform data, totaling 1.3 million hourly measurements. There were 15,577 blood culture instances, with 1,184 instances of bloodstream infection (8%). The multivariate pathophysiologic signature of bloodstream infection was characterized by abnormalities in 15 different physiologic features. The cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.69-0.85). We also identified distinct signatures of Gram-negative and fungal bloodstream infections, but not Gram-positive bloodstream infection. CONCLUSIONS: Signatures of bloodstream infection can be identified in the routine physiologic monitoring data of critically ill adults. This may assist in identifying infected patients, maximizing diagnostic stewardship, and measuring the effect of new therapeutic modalities for sepsis.

The Relationship Between Acuity of Organ Failure and Predictive Validity of Sepsis-3 Criteria.

The Sepsis-3 taskforce defined sepsis as suspicion of infection and an acute rise in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score by 2 points over the preinfection baseline. Sepsis-3 studies, though, have not distinguished between acute and chronic organ failure, and may not accurately reflect the epidemiology, natural history, or impact of sepsis. Our objective was to determine the extent to which the predictive validity of Sepsis-3 is attributable to chronic rather than acute organ failure. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: General medicine inpatient service at a tertiary teaching hospital. PATIENTS: A total of 3,755 adult medical acute-care encounters (1,864 confirmed acute infections) over 1 year. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We measured the total Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at the onset of infection and separated its components (baseline and acute rise) using case-by-case chart reviews. We compared the predictive validities of acuity-focused (acute rise in Sequential Organ Failure Assessment ≥ 2) and conventional (total Sequential Organ Failure Assessment ≥ 2) implementations of Sepsis-3 criteria. Measures of predictive validity were change in the rate of outcomes and change in the area under receiver operating characteristic curves after adding sepsis criteria to multivariate logistic regression models of baseline risk (age, sex, race, and Charlson comorbidity index). Outcomes were inhospital mortality (primary) and ICU transfer or inhospital mortality (secondary). Acuity-focused implementations of Sepsis-3 were associated with neither a change in mortality (2.2% vs 1.2%; p = 0.18) nor a rise in area under receiver operating characteristic curves compared with baseline models (0.67 vs 0.66; p = 0.75). In contrast, conventional implementations were associated with a six-fold change in mortality (2.4% vs 0.4%; p = 0.01) and a rise in area under receiver operating characteristic curves compared with baseline models (0.70 vs 0.66; p = 0.04). Results were similar for the secondary outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The evaluation of the validity of organ dysfunction-based clinical sepsis criteria is prone to bias, because acute organ dysfunction consequent to infection is difficult to separate from preexisting organ failure in large retrospective cohorts.

Imputation of partial pressures of arterial oxygen using oximetry and its impact on sepsis diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE: The ratio of the partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen is a key component of the sequential organ failure assessment score that operationally defines sepsis. But, it is calculated infrequently due to the need for the acquisition of an arterial blood gas. So, we sought to find an optimal imputation strategy for the estimation of sepsis-defining hypoxemic respiratory failure using oximetry instead of an arterial blood gas. APPROACH: We retrospectively studied a sample of non-intubated acute-care patients with oxygen saturation recorded ⩽10 min before arterial blood sampling (N = 492 from 2013-2017). We imputed ratios of the partial pressure of arterial oxygen to the fraction of inspired oxygen and sepsis criteria from existing imputation equations (Hill, Severinghaus-Ellis, Rice, and Pandharipande) and compared them with the ratios and sepsis criteria measured from arterial blood gases. We devised a modified model-based equation to eliminate the bias of the results. MAIN RESULTS: Hypoxemia severity estimates from the Severinghaus-Ellis equation were more accurate than those from other existing equations, but showed significant proportional bias towards under-estimation of hypoxemia severity, especially at oxygen saturations >96%. Our modified equation eliminated bias and surpassed others on all imputation quality metrics. SIGNIFICANCE: Our modified imputation equation, [Formula: see text] is the first one that is free of bias at all oxygen saturations. It resulted in ratios of partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen and sepsis respiratory criteria closest to those obtained by arterial blood gas testing and is the optimal imputation strategy for non-intubated acute-care patients.